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Orion Farming Group Fuel Update 4th February 2026


Prices – Over the last week the average Orion prices have remained fairly static with very little movement.

The below chart is purely an average ppl cost across all the Fuel Suppliers prices that we have received over the last week. For a definitive price based on quantity & area then please call the Orion Office.
Deliveries: Up to 14 working days, dependant on the Supplier and the area they cover, suppliers still remain very busy with their winter domestic trade.

Kerosene – Please check on your tanks for any requirements, with lead times increasing it may be difficult to get “Quick” deliveries.. This will continue throughout the Winter.


For electricity enquiries please contact Stuart in the office or email – stuart@ofg.org.uk for any other enquiries please visit our CONTACT page

Your Farm Fuel Q&A: 4th February 2026

This update provides a snapshot of the major market shifts occurring this week.

Q: Where is Brent crude trading now?

A: Brent is sitting in the mid-to-high $70s per barrel, and it’s gone a bit sticky. We’ve seen attempts to push lower, but they haven’t held. Buyers keep stepping in. The market clearly believes this level is justified..

Q:What’s driving the oil market this week?

A: Three familiar forces are still in play:
  1. OPEC+ control – supply discipline hasn’t slipped, and traders are taking them at their word.
  2. Geopolitics – nothing explosive, but enough background tension to keep a risk premium baked in.
  3. Demand holding up – winter demand is easing, but not falling off a cliff.

Q: What’s happening in UK wholesale gasoil?

A:Flat to firm.
Wholesale prices have stabilised after January, but they’re not softening. UK suppliers aren’t chasing volume and there’s no urgency to discount. That usually tells you supply feels balanced, not long.

Q: Are farm fuel prices easing now we’re into February?

A:Not materially.
Some farms may see very minor adjustments, but there’s no meaningful downward movement. February hasn’t delivered the relief some were hoping for — at least not yet.

Q: What’s the main upside risk right now?

A:A Brent rebound into the $80s.
It wouldn’t take much — a supply disruption, stronger-than-expected demand, or geopolitical flare-up — and the market could reprice quickly. UK farm fuel would follow almost immediately.

Q: What’s the downside case?

A:Gradual easing, not a collapse.
For prices to fall meaningfully, we’d need:
  • Brent breaking and holding well below the mid-$70s, and
  • Clear signs of demand weakening globally.
Neither is in place right now.



Fuel price outlook section provided by Investing.com and Gemini.
Please note that any opinions expressed in this update are sources from market information / analysis and do not represent views of Orion Farming Group. Orion Farming Group accepts no responsibility for any Member decisions made on the basis of information provided in the weekly fuel update.

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Orion Farming Group,

Unit 3 St Johns Yard,

Main Road, Fyfield, Abingdon, Oxon, OX13 5LN

Email: stuart@ofg.org.uk
Tel: 01865 393131

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