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Orion Farming Group Fuel Update 01/10/25

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Average Orion prices show a slight movement up overall on the week.
Deliveries remain between 2 – 5 working days, dependant on the Supplier and the area they cover.

The graph detailing average prices is temporarily unavailable however we are looking to re-design this so it will appear again soon!

For electricity enquiries please contact Stuart in the office or email – stuart@ofg.org.uk for any other enquiries please visit our CONTACT page

 

Your Farm Fuel Q&A: 1 October 2025

A factual update on the key questions impacting your fuel costs.

Q1: Where does the oil price stand today?

Brent Crude Futures are currently trading at around $65.38 per barrel. Prices have cooled from the mid-70s in the summer but remain volatile within the $60–75 range.

Q2: What is the current outlook for my red diesel and kerosene costs?
  • Red diesel (gasoil): Margins remain tight. Even though crude has steadied, gasoil prices are still elevated due to refinery constraints and higher distribution costs. Farmers may not see the full benefit of crude easing.
  • Kerosene (heating oil): Household heating demand will increase into winter, which could keep kerosene prices firm even if crude drifts sideways.
  • Practical impact: Expect continued price swings and be prepared that bulk delivery quotes may rise faster than headline oil prices suggest.

Q3: What should I be watching for next?


Keep a close eye on:
  • OPEC+ production decisions — any fresh cuts could push crude back up.
  • Geopolitical risks — Russian export restrictions, Middle East tensions, or shipping lane disruptions could all tighten supply.
  • European refinery issues — outages or maintenance work can quickly spike diesel and kerosene.
  • Weather and demand patterns — a cold winter in Europe will increase heating oil and kerosene demand.

Q4: How should members respond now?


  • Forward buy if possible – secure volumes for the next quarter if your supplier offers fixed rates.
  • Maintain a buffer – safe storage gives flexibility and protection from short-term spikes.
  • Time top-ups smartly – avoid buying at peak demand moments when prices typically lift.
  • Budget for volatility – even if crude looks steady, expect farm fuel quotes to move around more sharply.

    Summary: Your delivered fuel costs (red diesel and kerosene) are likely to stay firm this autumn despite a softer crude oil market. Use storage and forward buying where you can, and keep monitoring OPEC, refining margins, and seasonal heating demand for early warning of cost increases.



Fuel price outlook section provided by Investing.com and Gemini.
Please note that any opinions expressed in this update are sources from market information / analysis and do not represent views of Orion Farming Group. Orion Farming Group accepts no responsibility for any Member decisions made on the basis of information provided in the weekly fuel update.

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Orion Farming Group,

Unit 3 St Johns Yard,

Main Road, Fyfield, Abingdon, Oxon, OX13 5LN

Email: stuart@ofg.org.uk
Tel: 01865 393131

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