Orion Farming Group Fuel Update 10/09/25
- Orion Farming Group
- Sep 10
- 2 min read
Average prices – slight movement down overall on the week, as indicated in the pricing graph. Deliveries remain between 2 – 5 working days, dependant on the Supplier & area they cover”
Holiday – Please note I am away on Annual Leave between Friday 12th September & Sunday 28th inclusive. Alison in the Orion Office will be dealing with Fuel orders/enquiries whilst I am away. Call the usual Office number or e-mail Alison – alison@ofg.org.uk
Electricity Enquiries please contact Stuart in the Office or email – stuart@ofg.org.uk
Your Farm Fuel Q&A: 10th September 2025
A quick-fire update on the key questions impacting your fuel costs.
Q1: Where are oil prices this week?
After a volatile week of sharp swings, prices are right back where they started. As your chart shows, Brent Crude tumbled from around $69 late last week to a low of nearly $65, before recovering over the last few days. Today, the price is trading at approximately $67 a barrel. The market is clearly nervous and lacking direction.
Q2: What's causing this see-saw price action?
It’s a battle between hard data and strong words.
The Drop (The Data): The sharp fall was triggered by last Wednesday's official U.S. inventory report. It showed an unexpected rise in oil stockpiles, confirming that fuel demand is weaker than many thought. This bearish data sent prices tumbling.
The Recovery (The Words): The rebound was driven almost entirely by OPEC+. Seeing prices fall towards the mid-$60s, key producers like Saudi Arabia made public statements hinting they would consider cutting production further to support the market. This verbal intervention was enough to stop the slide and encourage buying.
Q3: What does this volatility mean for my fuel costs?
This price action provides a key insight for your fuel planning. It shows that while weak demand can still push prices down, there appears to be a "soft floor" under the market around the $65 mark. OPEC+ seems ready to step in with at least verbal support to prevent a total price collapse. For both your red diesel and kerosene needs, this means that while a major price spike looks unlikely, the potential for further significant discounts may also be limited for now.
Q4: So, what's the bottom line for the week ahead?
The market is caught in a tug-of-war between poor demand fundamentals and the promise of OPEC+ support. Until one of those forces gives way, expect more choppy trading. The most likely scenario is for prices to remain within a $66 to $70 a barrel range. The market will be listening for any more comments from oil ministers and closely watching today's U.S. inventory report to see if last week's surprise rise in stockpiles was a one-off.
Fuel price outlook section provided by Investing.com and Demand Economics.
Please note that any opinions expressed in this update are sources from market information / analysis and do not represent views of Orion Farming Group. Orion Farming Group accepts no responsibility for any Member decisions made on the basis of information provided in the weekly fuel update.
Applications and Data Analytics for Orion developed by Demand Economics Ltd.
