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Orion Farming Group Fuel Update 17/09/25

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Average Orion prices as at today are 108.95ppl for Derv, 66.47ppl for Gas Oil and 51.04ppl for Kerosene. Deliveries remain between 2 – 5  working days, dependant on the Supplier & area they cover.

 

Holiday – Please note I am away on Annual Leave between Friday 12th September & Sunday 28th inclusive. Alison in the Orion Office will be dealing with Fuel orders/enquiries whilst I am away. Call the usual Office number or e-mail Alison – alison@ofg.org.uk


Electricity Enquiries please contact Stuart in the Office or email – stuart@ofg.org.uk

 


Your Farm Fuel Q&A: 16th September 2025


A factual update on the key questions impacting your fuel costs.


Q1: Where does the oil price stand this week?

The market has firmed up slightly over the past week. Brent Crude is currently trading at approximately $68 a barrel. This is a modest increase from the ~$67 level seen last week and indicates the market has found stable footing, but it remains within the familiar trading range of the past month.


Q2: What are the factors behind this week's price movement?

The slight price rise has been supported by two main factors:

  1. U.S. Inventory Data: Last Wednesday's official report on U.S. oil stockpiles showed a moderate decrease. This was viewed by the market as a signal that fuel demand in the United States remains steady, easing some previous concerns about consumption weakness.

  2. Official Agency Outlooks: Both OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) released their influential monthly reports. These reports maintained a stable forecast for global oil demand for the remainder of the year, which provided reassurance to the market and countered more pessimistic economic outlooks.


Q3: What is the current outlook for my red diesel and kerosene costs?

This modest increase in crude oil suggests a floor has been established for red diesel and kerosene prices. The key takeaway is that the market appears to be in a more balanced state; the factors that were pushing prices lower have eased, but the current data does not support a sharp price increase. This points towards a period of relative price stability, which is useful for budgeting your remaining autumn and upcoming winter fuel purchases.


Q4: What should I be watching for next?

The market will continue to focus on hard data to confirm the demand picture. The most immediate data point will be this week's U.S. inventory report (due tomorrow, Wednesday). Beyond that, market direction will be guided by upcoming inflation and industrial output figures from major economies like the U.S., China, and the Eurozone. For now, the most likely scenario is for prices to remain in a stable range of $67 to $71 a barrel.



Fuel price outlook section provided by Investing.com and Gemini.

Please note that any opinions expressed in this update are sources from market information / analysis and do not represent views of Orion Farming Group. Orion Farming Group accepts no responsibility for any Member decisions made on the basis of information provided in the weekly fuel update.


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Orion Farming Group,

Unit 3 St Johns Yard,

Main Road, Fyfield, Abingdon, Oxon, OX13 5LN

Email: stuart@ofg.org.uk
Tel: 01865 393131

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