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Orion Farming Group Fuel Update 7th January 2026



Prices – Since the last update before Christmas there has been a slight decrease in the Orion prices.

Deliveries: Up to 14 working days, dependant on the Supplier and the area they cover, suppliers are now busy with their winter domestic trade.

Kerosene – Please check on your tanks for any requirements, with lead times increasing it may be difficult to get “Quick” deliveries.. This will continue throughout the Winter.

For electricity enquiries please contact Stuart in the office or email – stuart@ofg.org.uk for any other enquiries please visit our CONTACT page

Your Farm Fuel Q&A: 7th January 2026

This update provides a snapshot of the major market shifts occurring this week.

Q: Where is the Brent market trading this week?

A: Brent crude is trading around $62 per barrel, broadly unchanged from late December.
That places the market:
  • ~50% lower than the 2022 peak
  • Below the 5-year average
  • At a level where refiners and distributors are under pressure to move volume rather than hold stock

This is a buyer-controlled market, not a supply-tight one.

Q: What has actually moved the market since Christmas?

A: Three measurable factors:
  • Lower post-holiday demand across Europe
  • High global inventory levels (US and EU stocks remain comfortable)
  • No new OPEC production cuts announced going into January

Q: How does this translate to UK farm fuel pricing?

A: UK wholesale gasoil values have softened since mid-December, and suppliers are:
  • Clearing December-priced stock
  • Re-quoting more frequently
  • Competing harder on spot and short-term loads

Delivered prices are now being driven more by distribution and margin than crude cost.

Q:Is there any supply risk right now?
A: No.
  • No refinery outages impacting UK supply
  • No logistics disruption
  • No regulatory or duty changes announced

Supply is stable. This matters because stable supply = price competition.

Q: What would actually move prices up from here?
A: Only confirmed events, not commentary:
  • A declared OPEC+ production cut
  • A major refinery outage
  • A sharp GBP/USD drop

None of those are in play today.

Q: What’s the practical message for farmers this week?
A:
  • Prices are factually lower than Q4 2025
  • Supply is stable and competitive
  • January quotes reflect current market conditions, not last year’s highs

This is a market where buying decisions can be made with data, not urgency.



Fuel price outlook section provided by Investing.com and Gemini.
Please note that any opinions expressed in this update are sources from market information / analysis and do not represent views of Orion Farming Group. Orion Farming Group accepts no responsibility for any Member decisions made on the basis of information provided in the weekly fuel update.

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Orion Farming Group,

Unit 3 St Johns Yard,

Main Road, Fyfield, Abingdon, Oxon, OX13 5LN

Email: stuart@ofg.org.uk
Tel: 01865 393131

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